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What was the probability of Rice scoring both free-kicks?

Declan Rice celebrates
[Getty Images]

Via Opta's expected goals (xG) model, Declan Rice's first free-kick had an xG of 0.037 (3.7%) and his second had an xG of 0.063 (6.3%).

The probability of scoring both of those comes in at a combined total of 0.23% - a 1 in 434.8 chance.

That means that in theory, if the match was played out 435 times and Rice took both of the free-kicks he scored again, in only one of them would he have scored both free-kicks in the same match.

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