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Can Celtic still finish in top eight?

chris collinson - bbc sport statistician
·1-min read

In simple terms: Celtic have already qualified for the Champions League play-off round and have no realistic chance of finishing in the top eight.

The full version: Celtic would secure an extremely unlikely top-eight finish if they win at Aston Villa AND:

  • All 10 sides immediately above them (Leverkusen, Villa, Monaco, Feyenoord, Lille, Brest, Dortmund, Bayern, Real Madrid and Juventus) fail to win (NB. Lille play Feyenoord and Brest play Real Madrid).

  • OR 9 of the 10 sides immediately above them all fail to win AND Atalanta lose at Barcelona.

  • OR Atletico and AC Milan both lose (with the required goal swing), Atalanta lose and 7 of the 10 sides immediately above Celtic all fail to win.

  • Opta put the chances of any of this happening and Celtic finishing in the top eight at just 0.05%.

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[BBC]