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UFC 306 predictions: Down-the-middle picks for both Sphere title fights

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The UFC is back in its home base this week, but at the already legendary Sphere for the first time with a pair of title fights at the top of the card, plus a celebration of Mexican Independence Day.

UFC 306 (pay-per-view, ESPNews, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at Sphere in Las Vegas.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie's event hub for UFC 306.

Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Ode Osbourne vs. Ronaldo Rodriguez

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Records: Osbourne (12-7 MMA, 4-5 UFC), Rodriguez (16-2 MMA, 1-0 UFC)

Past five: Osbourne 2-3, Rodriguez 5-0

Division: Flyweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 09.13.24): Osbourne +130, Rodriguez -155

Junkie pick results: Rodriguez 9, Osbourne 2

Esteban Ribovics vs. Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Zellhuber vs. Esteban Ribovics
Daniel Zellhuber vs. Esteban Ribovics

Records: Ribovics (13-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC), Zellhuber (15-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC)

Past five: Ribovics 4-1, Zellhuber 4-1

Division: Lightweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 09.13.24): Ribovics +190, Zellhuber -230

Junkie pick results: Zellhuber 11, Ribovics 0

Diego Lopes vs. Brian Ortega

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Records: Lopes (25-6 MMA, 4-1 UFC), Ortega (16-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC)

Past five: Lopes 4-1, Ortega 2-3

Division: Featherweight

Rankings: Ortega No. 7, Lopes No. 15

Odds (as of 09.13.24): Lopes -200, Ortega +165

Junkie pick results: Lopes 11, Ortega 0

Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko

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Records: Grasso (16-3-1 MMA, 8-3-1 UFC), Shevchenko (23-4-1 MMA, 12-3-1 UFC)

Past five: Grasso 4-0-1, Shevchenko 3-1-1

Division: Women's flyweight

Rankings: Grasso No. 1, No. 3 pound-for-pound; Shevchenko No. 2, No. 4 pound-for-pound

Odds (as of 09.13.24): Grasso -130, Shevchenko +110

Junkie pick results: Grasso 6, Shevchenko 5

Sean O'Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili

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Records: O'Malley (18-1 MMA, 10-1 UFC), Dvalishvili (17-4 MMA, 10-2 UFC)

Past five: O'Malley 5-0, Dvalishvili 4-1

Division: Bantamweight

Rankings: O'Malley No. 1, No. 6 pound-for-pound; Dvalishvili No. 2, honorable mention pound-for-pound

Odds (as of 09.13.24): O'Malley -125, Dvalishvili +105

Junkie pick results: O'Malley 6, Dvalishvili 5

Preliminary card picks

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Although they don't count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont: Aldana 9, Dumont 2

  • Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Manuel Torres: Torres 6, Bahamondes 5

  • Yazmin Jauregui vs. Ketlen Souza: Jauregui 11, Souza 0

  • Edgar Chairez vs. Joshua Van: Van 8, Chairez 3

  • Aori Qileng vs. Raul Rosas Jr.: Rosas 11, Qileng 0

Check out all the main card picks below.

O'Malley

vs.

Dvalishvili

Grasso

vs.

Shevchenko

Lopes

vs.

Ortega

Ribovics

vs.

Zellhuber

Osbourne

vs.

Rodriguez

MMA Junkie readers'

consensus picks

151-85

O'Malley

(63%)

Shevchenko

(56%)

Lopes

(64%)

Zellhuber

(79%)

Rodriguez

(80%)

Ken Hathaway

@1khathaway

155-81

2017, 2022 Champion

O'Malley

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

Farah Hannoun

@Farah_Hannoun

153-83

O'Malley

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

Mike Bohn

@MikeBohn

150-86

2014 Champion

O'Malley

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

Matt Erickson

@MattE

145-91

O'Malley

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

Nolan King

@mma_kings

145-91

2023 Champion

Dvalishvili

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

Matthew Wells

@MrMWells

144-92

O'Malley

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

Brian Garcia

@thegoze

142-94

2017 Champion

Dvalishvili

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Osbourne

Simon Samano

@SJSamano

142-94

Dvalishvili

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

Abbey Subhan

@kammakaze

141-95

O'Malley

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

Danny Segura

@dannyseguratv

134-102

Dvalishvili

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez

George Garcia

@MMAjunkieGeorge

126-110

Dvalishvili

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Osbourne

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie's event hub for UFC 306.

This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: UFC 306 predictions: Down-the-middle picks for both Sphere title fights