UFC 306 predictions: Down-the-middle picks for both Sphere title fights
The UFC is back in its home base this week, but at the already legendary Sphere for the first time with a pair of title fights at the top of the card, plus a celebration of Mexican Independence Day.
UFC 306 (pay-per-view, ESPNews, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at Sphere in Las Vegas.
For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie's event hub for UFC 306.
Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.
Ode Osbourne vs. Ronaldo Rodriguez
Records: Osbourne (12-7 MMA, 4-5 UFC), Rodriguez (16-2 MMA, 1-0 UFC)
Past five: Osbourne 2-3, Rodriguez 5-0
Division: Flyweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 09.13.24): Osbourne +130, Rodriguez -155
Junkie pick results: Rodriguez 9, Osbourne 2
Esteban Ribovics vs. Daniel Zellhuber
Records: Ribovics (13-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC), Zellhuber (15-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC)
Past five: Ribovics 4-1, Zellhuber 4-1
Division: Lightweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 09.13.24): Ribovics +190, Zellhuber -230
Junkie pick results: Zellhuber 11, Ribovics 0
Diego Lopes vs. Brian Ortega
Records: Lopes (25-6 MMA, 4-1 UFC), Ortega (16-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC)
Past five: Lopes 4-1, Ortega 2-3
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: Ortega No. 7, Lopes No. 15
Odds (as of 09.13.24): Lopes -200, Ortega +165
Junkie pick results: Lopes 11, Ortega 0
Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko
Records: Grasso (16-3-1 MMA, 8-3-1 UFC), Shevchenko (23-4-1 MMA, 12-3-1 UFC)
Past five: Grasso 4-0-1, Shevchenko 3-1-1
Division: Women's flyweight
Rankings: Grasso No. 1, No. 3 pound-for-pound; Shevchenko No. 2, No. 4 pound-for-pound
Odds (as of 09.13.24): Grasso -130, Shevchenko +110
Junkie pick results: Grasso 6, Shevchenko 5
Sean O'Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili
Records: O'Malley (18-1 MMA, 10-1 UFC), Dvalishvili (17-4 MMA, 10-2 UFC)
Past five: O'Malley 5-0, Dvalishvili 4-1
Division: Bantamweight
Rankings: O'Malley No. 1, No. 6 pound-for-pound; Dvalishvili No. 2, honorable mention pound-for-pound
Odds (as of 09.13.24): O'Malley -125, Dvalishvili +105
Junkie pick results: O'Malley 6, Dvalishvili 5
Preliminary card picks
Although they don't count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:
Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont: Aldana 9, Dumont 2
Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Manuel Torres: Torres 6, Bahamondes 5
Yazmin Jauregui vs. Ketlen Souza: Jauregui 11, Souza 0
Edgar Chairez vs. Joshua Van: Van 8, Chairez 3
Aori Qileng vs. Raul Rosas Jr.: Rosas 11, Qileng 0
Check out all the main card picks below.
O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili | Grasso vs. Shevchenko | Lopes vs. Ortega | Ribovics vs. Zellhuber | Osbourne vs. Rodriguez | |
MMA Junkie readers' 151-85 | O'Malley (63%) | Shevchenko (56%) | Lopes (64%) | Zellhuber (79%) | Rodriguez (80%) |
Ken Hathaway 155-81 2017, 2022 Champion | O'Malley | Grasso | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
Farah Hannoun @Farah_Hannoun 153-83 | O'Malley | Grasso | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
Mike Bohn 150-86 2014 Champion | O'Malley | Shevchenko | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
Matt Erickson 145-91 | O'Malley | Grasso | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
Nolan King 145-91 2023 Champion | Dvalishvili | Shevchenko | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
Matthew Wells 144-92 | O'Malley | Grasso | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
Brian Garcia 142-94 2017 Champion | Dvalishvili | Shevchenko | Lopes | Zellhuber | Osbourne |
Simon Samano 142-94 | Dvalishvili | Grasso | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
Abbey Subhan 141-95 | O'Malley | Shevchenko | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
Danny Segura 134-102 | Dvalishvili | Grasso | Lopes | Zellhuber | Rodriguez |
George Garcia 126-110 | Dvalishvili | Shevchenko | Lopes | Zellhuber | Osbourne |
For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie's event hub for UFC 306.
This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: UFC 306 predictions: Down-the-middle picks for both Sphere title fights