The 2-0 Chiefs opened as 7-point favorites over the 0-2 Colts but the line is now at 5.5 points at BetMGM despite the Chiefs getting 74% of bets and 66% of the handle. The game is the most-bet at the sportsbook so far ahead of Week 3 of the NFL season.
It’s rare to see a game move in the underdog’s favor when the favorite is getting the majority of the money. But perhaps oddsmakers are bullish on a Colts cover after news that receivers Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce both practiced this week. Pittman missed Week 2 and could be a gametime decision ahead of the noon kickoff.
The total has jumped up a point as well to 50.5 despite most of the money being on the under. Over 60% of bets and money is on the under.
While KC is getting a lot of money against the Colts, there are other teams getting a bigger percentage of the cash in their games. The most overwhelming choice of bettors is the Cincinnati Bengals. Cincy is getting 94% of the money on 83% of the bets as a 6-point favorite over the New York Jets. The line opened at 4.5 points as the Bengals look to avoid an 0-3 start.
The line has also totally flipped in Denver for Sunday Night Football thanks to bettors’ love of the 49ers. San Francisco opened as a 1.5-point underdog ahead of the game and is now a 1.5-point favorite. Nearly 80% of the cash is backing San Francisco and the three points of line movement is the biggest of any Week 3 game so far.
Overs aren’t nearly as popular a play in Week 3
Bettors really liked the over in Week 2 and got burned as a bunch of unders hit. They seem to have learned their lesson in Week 3 as the over is getting the most money in seven games so far.
The biggest discrepancy favoring the over is in Minnesota where 83% of bettors like the total to be more than 52.5 points. The total is the same for Buffalo’s game at Miami and 80% of the money is backing the over.
Conversely, 90% of the money is on under 42 in Seattle for the Falcons’ trip to the Seahawks. That money is coming on 78% of bets. Wagers on the 47.5-point total in the Eagles’ visit to the Commanders are split 50/50 but the under is getting 76% of the cash.